Golf bettors risk big bets for small returns

Home » Golf bettors risk big bets for small returns

Posted: January 3, 2025, 12:41 pm.

Last updated: January 3, 2025, 12:41 pm.

The 2025 PGA Tour season officially kicked off yesterday with The Sentry at Kapalua, a $20M purse for a field that included only last year's winners and those qualifying for the season-ending Tour Championship.

Golf Bookies Odds Sportsbooks PGA Tour
Will Zalatoris putst during the first round of The Sentry PGA Tour golf tournament on Thursday, Jan. 2, 2025, in Kapalua, Hawaii. One bettor risked $9,900 on Zalatoris not winning, although he is in second place after firing an early round of 65. (image: pga tour,

The new year marks a new trend in how many golf bettors – especially those with deep pockets – gamble on the game. Since legal sports betting expanded after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down a federal law in May 2018, golf has been a high-performing sport for bettors.

Since most PGA Tour stops typically feature 132, 144, or 156 players – this week being an exception with only 59 competitors – it is a difficult task for bettors to pick a pre-tournament player to win outright. While many golf bettors place small bets, say $1 to $10, on a tournament, those losses add up for sportsbooks.

Even when a golf bettor overcomes the long odds, their payout is usually not life-changing or worthy of media coverage. For example, a $10 pre-tournament bet on Justin Thomas at 10/1 odds will be worth just $100 this week. Even on a longshot like Max Gresserman, who has never won on Tour, a $10 bet at 40/1 will only earn $400.

Big Bets, Small Returns

It appears that some golf punters are willing to place small bets in low expectations of modest returns. Golf fans who love to risk a lot of money are doing the opposite in hopes of improving their chances of winning the book.

In addition to offering outright odds, top 10, top 25 and cut odds in golf, some sportsbooks and betting exchanges offer bets on whether a player will miss the weekend, score high and not win the tournament. Will get. The latter has become a popular bet, but with longer odds, punters have to risk a larger amount to get a good return.

For this week in Hawaii, sporttrade's “Whale Tracker”, which keeps track of bets over $3K, reports that several expensive bets were placed on players ahead of Thursday's first round No To win. These include a $9,325 bet on Collin Morikawa, which netted $568, a $9,500 bet on Patrick Cantlay for $490, and a $9,791 bet on Nick Dunlop, which netted $106.

Morikawa is T4 after a first-round score of 66. Cantlay and Dunlop bets look good after the first round at +1 and +3.

A scary bet after 18 holes of play is a $9,900 bet on Will Zalatoris not winning, netting only $98. Zalatoris is in second place after an opening round of 65.

Traditional Golf Odds Outlook

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler injured his hand while preparing for the Christmas dinner and will be out of the ropes for “three to four weeks”. He is expected to be “100%” upon his return.

After one of the most historic PGA Tour seasons, where the 28-year-old won seven times, including the Masters, Players Championship, Memorial and Tour Championship, Scheffler is the betting favorite for all four majors this year. FanDuel has Scotty at +410 for the Masters, +490 for the PGA Championship, +410 for the US Open and +430 for The Open Championship.

All four majors have McIlroy next at +850 to +1000 each.

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